Archive for March, 2008

February Sees Further Decline in Vehicle Sales

Add comment March 14th, 2008

February is a good month normally for the cupid types but for the auto industry this year, little love has been dished out. Of all the auto companies, only American Honda Motor Co, Daimler AG and Nissan North America have penciled in a gain in sales for this month, yet for the year only Honda and Daimler remain solvent so far.

This February has seen a dramatic drop in sales of SUVs as the bite of high gasoline prices rip into the family budget but Porsche beg to differ with their truck sales exploding to a 109.7% over the same period last year. This anomaly is at the expense of their car division which dropped 40.3% over last year leaving the sportscar company down 12.8% for the month of February.

With every auto manufacturer feeling the economic pinch, total sales in North America for the year are down by a 120,000 units or 5.3% so far, so what does this all mean for us the clay modeler.

As the auto industry continues its downward spiral with less sales and ultimately less profit we could find the purse strings being tightened even further. That means design facilities could well see overtime reduced to save on premium payments but not necessary less work to be done. Programs could be reduced, shelved or even cancelled as the product planning groups rethink their strategy on the best product to pursue whilst indicision on current programs reduces productivity to a crawl. All this negativity on the economy will put a strain on the creative juices especially when a winning design is needed right now to gain maximium traction.

Currently the new product lead time is from 36 to 48 months before it hits the road and for some that may be too late. Take for instance the Chevy Camaro that debut at the NAIAS in January 2006 and is on the fast track to hit showrooms as a 2009 model year. Will this vehicle still have the massive following that it had early on when fuel was only $2.00 a gallon, by the time it does become available that $2.00 could well be doubled.

The new vehicle programs that have just finished, are they the right product? Typically in times of uncertainty studios have ramped up their development programs because the right product is not always clear cut leading to many iterations of a theme, demand is usually greater for sculptors, designers and engineers. Product development cannot afford to go on the back burner in fear of losing even more market share to the competitors, it is a vicious circle, so for the clay modeler I can see boom times ahead once more.

February may have been another bad sales month because of all the underlying problems but development must go on so let’s lighten up and check out some of the fun videos on YouTube.com. A bit of fun and plenty of laughter goes a long way in cheering you up and with the beginnings of a new week just around the corner, who knows, there may even be some good news!

Chrysler Pacifica Advanced Design RIP

Add comment March 8th, 2008

The rumor had reached me via friends that all staff at the Chrysler Pacifica Advanced Design in Carlsbad had been given severance packages on Friday March 7th 2008, victims of the down sizing of company assets and the drop in sales. Today March 8th it is confirmed via Automotive News that all Advanced Design will be conducted at their Auburn Hills Headquarters. This studio in effect had influenced their product design with successful vehicles such as the Dodge Challenger, Chrysler 300 and Chrysler Pacifica over recent years but as many people know, all sculptors and designers in California spend most of their time at the beach!

The sad part of this story is, California is one of the leaders in setting trends due to its diverse nature and for the studio to be moved to Detroit is a big blow to the staff and possibly future products. Today the need for a competitve edge is paramount and without this Californian studio it could well accelerate the final chapter in their rocky existence. Chrysler was one of the first to recognize the importance of California as a forward thinking and cultural melting pot, allowing it to cash in on the latest trends but recent years have seen a dramatic downturn in fortune resulting in a marriage with Mercedes Benz and most recently a divorce. The recent takeover by Cerberus could well see a piece mealing of the car company in years to come especially if profitability looks unlikely.

I’m sure the surviving studios of Ford and GM are monitoring these events with a bated breath, considering whether to consolidate themselves as the continual squeeze on product sales erode away their market share. Without sales profits are slim leaving little to invest in future products let alone a standalone studio but that frontier studio could well be the difference between success and failure, given the latitude to design.

Still, with the dust up in the air only time will tell whether this was a move of genius or a move of desperation, either way as I see it, it’s one less quality design facility in Southern California.


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